PSG’s 2026 Champions League Win Probability

Live prediction market forecasts for PSG based on real-time Kalshi and Polymarket data. Updated hourly.

📊 PSG Market Brief

Updated:

Tournament: PSG last claimed a 2-0 victory over Liverpool in the Champions League quarter-final second leg at Anfield on Wednesday, April 14, completing a 4-0 aggregate win, and now prepare to host Bayern München in the semi-final first leg at Parc des Princes on April 28.

Recent Form: Sun, Apr 19 saw PSG suffer a 1-2 home defeat to Lyon in Ligue 1, marking their sole domestic fixture in the past 15 days and leaving them sitting first in Ligue 1 on 63 points, riding bullish momentum despite the narrow setback.

Squad & Catalysts: Midfielder Fabián Ruiz is sidelined with a bruised knee (Unknown return date), forcing rotation in central midfield.

Market Sentiment: PSG’s stock has rallied on the back of a dominant aggregate triumph over Liverpool, underpinning bullish momentum among investors. The semi-final first leg against Bayern München presents a narrow edge scenario as home conditions temper away-market volatility.

Outlook: PSG enter the semi-final as strong favourites to progress, carrying bullish momentum into the tie.

Key Stats

31.6%

Current Probability

30-Day Change

#T-1

Current Rank

PSG Upcoming Matches

There are no scheduled games with probabilities right now. Please check back later.

What's Driving PSG's Odds

Fabián Ruiz Bruised Knee: Midfielder Fabián Ruiz is sidelined with a bruised knee, creating a vacancy in central midfield and weakening depth options.
Limited Domestic Fixture: With just a single league match in the last 15 days, PSG has maintained bullish momentum and arrives at the Bayern tie with ample recovery time.
High-Press Profit: PSG’s aggressive high-press system offers a narrow edge in disrupting Bayern München’s buildup and transition play.